Baltimore Ravens 30, Buffalo Payments 28
Whereas recency bias could also be at play right here, my slight edge goes to the Ravens as a result of the Payments protection that confirmed up in the Wild Card Round regarded an excessive amount of just like the Payments protection from the primary half of the season. The Payments have given up greater than 200 dashing yards twice this yr and 7 instances since Sean McDermott took over. Indianapolis had probabilities to win final week as a result of Buffalo’s protection was overwhelmed by a cohesive dashing assault that received to the surface in key moments.
Baltimore’s protection, in the meantime, is peaking. The Ravens will not be capable of blitz Allen into submission like they did late final common season, however even a handful of unfavorable performs and a turnover could be sufficient in a recreation unlikely to characteristic many defensive stops. Buffalo’s cross rush can be unlikely to trouble Jackson, placing an excessive amount of stress on linebackers Tremaine Edmunds and Matt Milano to continuously save the day.
Allen is the X-factor. In a quarterback league, nobody is enjoying higher. Even when the Ravens have the suitable recreation plan, he could make performs which might be unimaginable to defend exterior the pocket. The identical could possibly be stated about Jackson, even when the Ravens’ passing recreation is extra sporadic. This can be the perfect matchup of younger, cellular quarterbacks in NFL playoff historical past, and I am simply thrilled to look at it it doesn’t matter what occurs.
- Josh Allen could have extra mixed passing and dashing yards than Lamar Jackson. I like Jackson, however Allen had over 1,000 mixed yards greater than him within the common season. Allen’s legs additionally determine to be a giant issue within the playoffs, like last week.
- The whole factors scored within the recreation might be greater than 50.5. Weird quantity, which ought to be near 56. Nice offense beats good protection in 2021.